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Don’t Get Too Comfortable: The Koch Brothers Will Be Back

Word spread this week that the Koch brothers were temporarily slowing their funding of the extremist Tea Party as they complete an audit of their failed 2012 electoral efforts. This shouldn’t be viewed as surrender. Anyone willing to spend hundreds of millions of dollars to win the White House and Congress doesn’t give up after they lose one round (especially when they are worth billions). The Koch brothers are committed to gutting environmental protections and devouring government agencies, and they will live to fight another day.

And when that day comes, people who value government safeguards should be ready, because the money the Koch brothers and their polluter friends are saving now will likely be dropped in lump sums later in the year.

The dollar amounts could be astonishing unless America finally creates sensible guidelines for political donations. A new court case could signal whether we will continue to let deep-pocketed donors hold sway.

The case—argued before the Supreme Court—could remove the current limit on how much individuals can donate to political campaigns, parties, and PACs. Right now people can give up to $48,600 to candidates and $74,600 to PACs every two years. Since this case will be decided by the same justices who removed caps on corporate giving in the Citizens United ruling, it’s possible the floodgates of personal spending will be thrown wide open.

We need more accountability built into the system or we risk having our political system completely commandeered by the highest bidder. Citizens United blew the lid off donations and the effect was immediate and extreme. In the 2009 Virginia governor’s race, candidates spent $15.7 million. After Citizen’s United, the 2012 Senate race in Virginia shattered records: candidate spending shot to $32.3 million and outside spending hit $58.7 million.

When that kind of money pours into a race, it means outsiders talk to voters more than candidates do. Big spenders define the race—and policies and platforms—more than the people’s representatives.

The good news is that money can’t always buy you love. One of Karl Rove’s Super PACs spent almost $105 million in 2012 to support or defeat various candidates but was successful in less than 2 percent of its races. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, known for its climate denial and fossil-fuel friendly policies, spent more than $32 million in campaigns but achieved less than 7 percent of its desired outcomes. Instead, Americans swept clean energy champions into office up and down the ticket. Polluters had the money; but they didn’t have the votes.

Voters can combat the influence of money at the ballot box. But if we don’t start demanding campaign finance reform, our power could be eroded by bigger and bigger piles of money. We have to keep holding our lawmakers accountable for the money they accept and the steps they take to reform political spending.

And we have to be prepared the next time polluters’ money starts swirling around campaign offices. We beat the Koch brothers and their friends in 2012, but we can’t let our guard down. If we want to build a cleaner, more sustainable energy future for our children, we have to roll up our sleeves and get to work.

 

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A Climate Plan is Good Politics

Guessing the contents of the State of the Union is a favorite Washington parlor game this time of year. I am putting my money on the issue of climate change. After President Obama devoted a chunk of his Inaugural Address to laying out the moral and economic imperatives on why we must act to curb climate change, I hope to hear his plans for moving us forward towards that goal during the State of the Union.

Many Americans are eager to hear how we can confront this crisis. Now that intense drought, heat waves, storms and other extreme weather are bearing down on our communities, many voters are calling for action. In September, the majority of voters favored candidates who agree the Environmental Protection Agency should reduce carbon pollution, according to a survey by Public Policy Polling.

The White House and other Democratic leaders are responding to the call and deepening their climate commitment. Many Republicans, however, are heading in the opposite direction.

The National Republican Senatorial Committee recently announced that one of its central strategies for the 2014 election cycle will be attacking Democrats for their efforts to address climate change.

That’s right. They want to pillory lawmakers for trying to solve the single greatest environmental and humanitarian crisis of our time. They want to punish them for trying to reduce pollution that is pumping weather systems with steroids and contributing to 14 extreme events costing more $1 billion each in losses in 2011 and 11 $1 billion extreme events in 2012.

This tone deaf response isn’t just bad for our nation. It’s bad for GOP candidates.

In the 2012 election, Americans swept climate champions into office up and down the ticket. In race after race, climate deniers and anti-regulatory candidates got millions of dollars from polluting industries, but they didn’t get the votes.  

George Allen, for instance, tried to win the Virginia Senate race with nearly $12 million from Karl Rove’s Super PACs and $4.5 million from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Allen worked as a consultant for a climate denial outfit and wanted to open Virginia’s coast to oil and gas drilling. His Democratic opponent Tim Kaine, meanwhile, told voters, “We need a national energy policy that takes immediate advantage of Virginia and America’s own energy resources to end our dependence on foreign oil.” Despite the millions spent on dirty ad blitzes, Virginians chose Kaine’s clean energy vision for their state.

A similar pattern played out in several states across the country, including decidedly red states. The National Republican Senatorial Committee plan for 2014 singled out Montana as a place where it would attack candidates’ climate action. Yet this approach ignores the fact that Senator John Tester just won reelection after running on clean energy and talking about what global warming is doing to his dryland farm in Central Montana. “History will judge us on how we deal with climate,” Tester has said.

Several newly elected Senators agree. Last weekend, I visited with Senator Martin Heinrich of New Mexico. He told me that the people of New Mexico see what is happening to their land and the world around them and they want action.

And yet the GOP is doubling down on a losing climate strategy that will continue to alienate Americans.  Including one of the most coveted demographic groups: young people. Young people know that if America continues its climate paralysis, their generation will pay the price. John Carson, the former director of the White House Office of Public Engagement and the new executive director of Organizing for America, says that if you asked young volunteers on the Obama campaign why they got involved in politics, the largest majority answered the environment. Young voters believe they can make a difference, and so they mobilize. GOP candidates who run on climate denial probably won’t be getting their votes.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Some Republican leaders are sensing the changing demographic winds and moderating their positions. Senator Mark Rubio, for instance, supports immigration reform. Senator Mark Kirk—and NRA member—is talking about gun control. There is room for Republicans to lead on climate as well.

In the meantime, we will be looking to President Obama to set our country on a path toward climate stability. He can start by talking about it in the State of the Union Address. We will just have to wait and see if some Republicans respond by dumping the losing strategy of climate denial.

President Obama Has the Power to Act Now on Climate Change

Now that President Obama has officially been sworn in for a second term, speculation about his governing priorities has reached a fevered pitch. Will he reform immigration first? Will gun control be next? And with this sentence in his inaugural address, President Obama put climate change front and center in the policy priority debate: “We will respond to the threat of climate change, knowing that the failure to do so would betray our children and future generations.

All the guesswork on sequence and timing ignores a plain truth: America should be able to walk and chew gum at the same time. The political landscape may be fractured and contentious right now. But even in this gridlocked era, we should expect our leaders to tackle more than one challenge at once.

A handful of issues deserve immediate attention. Climate change is among them, President Obama has the power to act now despite Congressional gridlock, and this is why he must make it a top priority.

More People Will Be Put at Risk If We Don’t Act Soon

You might think 2012 will go down in history as the year of Hurricane Sandy. But that was just one of many extreme weather events to devastate our communities last year. We also had the worst drought in 50 years, the heat wave that put more than 100 million Americans under heat advisories, the freak derecho storm that left 23 dead and 1.4 million people without power from Illinois to Virginia, and the prolonged Western fire season.

The list goes on: NRDC experts found that at least 3,527 monthly weather records were broken for heat, rain, and snow throughout the United States last year. If you look behind many of these record-breaking events, you find destroyed homes, lost crops, shuttered businesses, broken dreams, and costly damage. NOAA’s National Climate Data Center reported that 11 extreme weather events reaped more than $1 billion in losses in 2012.

Extreme weather is a hallmark of climate change, and if we don’t address this crisis soon, millions more Americans will experience this kind of severe hardship.

Americans Are Providing the Political Will

A few years ago, I chose not to talk about climate change at holiday gatherings, because I didn’t want the drama that came with bring up a divisive issue. But now my family and millions of other Americans have seen what climate change could look like with their own eyes. They look out the window and see weather patterns thrown out of whack and damages reaching all-time highs. Climate change has hit home, and a growing number of Americans want to do something about it.

An October 2012 survey conducted by Yale and George Mason University found that 70 percent of Americans believe global warming is real. In contrast, the number of Americans who deny the reality of climate change dropped nearly by half to just 12 percent since January 2010.

Another October survey from the Pew Research Center found that 64 percent of Americans agree climate change is a “somewhat serious” or “very serious” problem. Eighty-five percent of Democrats say there is “solid evidence” of climate change, while nearly half of Republican do—a jump of 37 percent from 2009. A decade ago, these numbers were higher, but the fact remains:  the majority of Americans rarely agree on anything, but they agree on the threat of climate change.

More significantly, they want action. In September, the majority of voters living in swing states said they favored candidates who think the Environmental Protection Agency should reduce carbon pollution—the main cause of climate change—according to a survey by Public Policy Polling.

This majority helped shape the 2012 election cycle. Voters overwhelmingly chose candidates who support clean energy and climate action up and down the ticket. In Maine, for instance, Senator Angus King was able to paint his opponent Charlie Summers as extreme and out of touch because Summers doesn’t believe in climate change.

The recent polls and election outcomes show Americans will stand behind climate action. Now it’s time for our leaders to tap that support and put solutions in place.

We Know How to Solve It

Some Congressional leaders have said they would introduce climate legislation. Yet given the current stalemate on Capitol Hill, I don’t expect to see a bill hitting President Obama’s desk any time soon. The good news is that the White House doesn’t need to wait for Congress. It can act now using authority Congress granted it when it passed the Clean Air Act, overwhelmingly, 40 years ago.

NRDC released a groundbreaking proposal showing how, under the Clean Air Act, the Environmental Protection Agency can set limits on carbon pollution from existing power plants—the nation’s biggest source of global warming pollution. In the process, it would save thousands of lives and drive a surge of new investment in clean energy.

It would also help ease some of the regional tensions that arose when the House of Representatives passed climate legislation in 2009. NRDC’s proposal offers a unique federal and state partnership that recognizes the differences in how power is generated across the country and gives maximum flexibility for states and power plants to meet emissions standards the EPA would set for each state.

It’s time for President Obama to set these carbon limits in motion. He can begin now—even as he pursues additional priorities—knowing the majority of Americans want to tackle the threat of climate change.

 

Six Clean Energy Campaign Lessons that Matter for 2013

It is the start of a New Year, and the long election of 2012 is behind us now, but that doesn’t mean the campaigning is over. A new Congress and a second Obama term present opportunities to advance clean energy and climate action, yet given the persistent gridlock in Washington, it will take a sustained effort to generate the public pressure and bolster the political will to put smart policies in place. The 2012 race offers some lessons about how best to build that momentum.

The 2012 election revealed a good deal about energy politics. Energy received more coverage in campaign ads than any issue except jobs and the economy. Fossil fuel companies spent more than $150 million in ad campaigns by mid-September, and Former Governor Romney echoed the industry’s talking points on the stump, calling for more drilling, more coal-fired power, and skirting the reality of climate change on more than one occasion.

Yet despite the dirty ad blitz and anti-environmental rhetoric, Americans roundly rejected this polluting energy platform. Up and down the ticket, they chose candidates who support clean energy, clean air, and strong public health safeguards.

Now we have to help leaders deliver what voters asked for. How can we keep the momentum going for expanding wind and solar power and reducing toxic smokestack pollution? How can fight back against deep-pocketed polluters? How can we persuade Congress the time has come to confront climate change? The 2012 campaigns provide some answers.

Michigan Wind Farm

1. Local Success Stories Inspire Support

Everyone is familiar with the old adage: all politics are local. The same is true for the politics of clean energy and climate change. A few years ago, we noticed it was easy to build support for clean energy in California, because the clean energy sector is such a vibrant part of the state’s economy—generating jobs, attracting investment, and enhancing the local tax base. Now that wind farms and fuel efficient automakers and other climate solutions have spread across the country, more and more people are experiencing the benefits of strong environmental policies in their own communities. Yet no matter how broad the clean economy becomes, the lesson remains the same: use local success stories to build support for broader policies.

Smart campaigners heeded this lesson. Candidates shot commercials at a local solar plant or wind farm. And when they spoke about clean energy, they didn’t focus on national policy. They talked about your neighbor, who works at a steel mill making wind turbines. The strategy paid off when voters overwhelmingly cast their ballots for clean energy champions.

As candidates shift from campaigning to governing, they should remember to maintain the local focus. Beltway debates about national energy policy or carbon limits may fall flat back home, but stories about clean energy opportunities in familiar communities will excite voters. Just look at the recent debate over wind energy incentives. Some Republicans called for ending these incentives in the recent budget deal, but the incentives passed with bipartisan support—perhaps because more than 80 percent of installed wind power comes from Republican-majority states.

It’s never been easier to make the connection between clean energy policy and local benefits. The wind industry relies on a domestic supply chain of more than 400 manufacturers in more than 40 states. More than 100,000 Americans work in the solar sector, and more than 150,000 have jobs making cleaner cars in 43 states. Lawmakers should trumpet the numbers from their own districts.

2. The Most Effective Messages May Surprise You

As part of our broader work, the NRDC Action Fund set out to elect environmental champions to office in 2012. We know smart climate policies will make America’s air safer to breathe, spur economic growth, and generate a host of other benefits for our nation. But that doesn’t mean we made climate the focus of the campaigns where we were active. Instead, we let local issues determine our central message and we stuck to it.

Take the Senate race in New Mexico. Former Representative Martin Heinrich has a terrific record of supporting the state’s burgeoning renewable energy sector and talking about New Mexico’s extreme drought and wildfires in terms of climate change. He also stands strong against contaminating the state’s water with a toxic gasoline additive known as MTBE – something his opponent, Heather Wilson wavered on while accepting campaign contributions from its producers. It turns out that while the large majority of voters appreciated Heinrich’s climate positions, they cared most about the drinking water issue. Early on, our environmental coalition decided to trust our research and make safe drinking water the central environmental issue of the race. We stuck to this decision, because our ultimate goal in this race was not to necessarily campaign on climate change but to elect an environmental champion to the Senate. This strategy paid off when Heinrich beat Heather Wilson soundly.

As 113th Congress kicks off, we have to be smarter about building public support.  Sometimes the problem of climate change seems so big that people tune out and feeling helpless to make a difference.  Building a relationship with people on issues that they already care about (and feel empowered to deal with) is a good way to gain trust and educate the public how their concerns may be tied to climate change.

3. All that Money Made People Panic, but the Deep Pockets Lost Anyway

We knew polluting industries would spend unprecedented amounts of money in 2012, but the stockpiles of cash they amassed still exceeded expectations. Fossil fuel companies and their allies lavished $270 million on ads in the last two months alone. Together with GOP strategist Karl Rove’s groups and oil industry giants David and Charles Koch, outside money invested in dirty energy campaigns totaled at least $1 billion.

This avalanche of money made pro-environmental campaigns nervous. In the past we may have panicked or let the oil companies push us off message. Wherever I went on the campaign trail, people asked the same questions: how are your fundraising numbers? Are you keeping up with the other side? The truth is clean energy and clean air supporters could never match fossil fuel spending. But we didn’t have to because the majority of Americans favor a clean, sustainable future over the polluting past. In most cases, candidates who ran on clean energy triumphed, and those who didn’t failed. One of Karl Rove’s Super PACs spent almost $105 million to support anti-regulatory candidates but was successful in less than 2 percent of its races.

The same pattern played out in numerous senate races. In Ohio, oil, gas, and coal companies and their allies spent $20 million to defeat Senator Sherrod Brown and elect Josh Mandel. Mandel doesn’t believe humans contribute to climate change and opposes government incentives for clean energy. Brown, in contrast, calls for robust climate action and says that smart government measures like new fuel economy standards “can reduce greenhouse gas emissions, save consumers money, and address our dependence on foreign oil.” Ohio voters agreed with Brown on this and many other issues, and rejected Mandel and his polluter backers.

4.  Not all Polls Serve the Same Purpose

Every campaign pollster faces a choice: do you poll for internal use or to rally the public?  The first kind of polling is conducted to test messages and measure public support. It asks the hard questions and yields important truths campaigns must consider as they plan their path to victory. The second kind of polling puts on a “happy face.” It frames questions in ways that make your candidate or issue appear hugely popular, and campaigns love to push share the results with funders or media.

Once in a while, both kinds of polls yield the same numbers—like on a lot of environmental issues—but campaigners need to decide at the outset of a polling project what they want: brutal reality or a great story to tell.  If you don’t know the difference, you run the risk of failing to see the truth or make necessary changes. You also have to be aware of whom you are polling and confirm that your demographic model is on track with the voting population.

Romney’s team underestimated the youth vote, and it cost him dearly. I have spoken to members of his campaign who said they were absolutely convinced Romney would win because all their internal poll numbers favored him, but they under polled traditionally progressive voters.  They also trusted their own polling even in the face of independent polling that favored Obama. In fact, nearly every single external poll correctly called the election for Obama.

This cycle taught us to poll with intent.  You can poll for of facts or for perception.  You just have to know the difference and when you get the numbers back – whether it is on a candidate or on a message, trust them unless there is strong evidence to the contrary.

5. There Is Such a Thing as Too Many Campaign Ads

Campaigners want to run as many ads as the budget allows. If someone told me I could buy 10 spots in an hour instead of three, I would have jumped at the chance. But this year’s cycle showed timing is just as important as volume. If you run your commercial when everyone else is running them, it may be drowned out. But if you get out early and ahead of your opponents, you can achieve greater influence and insert your issue in the race.

Many campaigns made big ad buys in September and October, but polling numbers didn’t move much throughout the fall. Campaigns were in search of the seemingly mythical undecided voter but most people had made their decision long before they ever put on their fall jacket.  The chance to persuade the largest number of people about any given issue came much earlier on the cycle. In New Mexico, our campaign kicked off in July. When we started, Heinrich was in a statistical dead-heat with Wilson. After a robust environmental community campaign, he pulled ahead and never looked back.

Lawmakers can apply this lesson when they are mobilizing voters on an issue. Instead of waiting until the week before a big energy vote to educate constituents, pave the way months in advance. And don’t overdo the negative. Negative campaign ads have proven to be effective, but I believe campaigns can hit a saturation point. We are still collecting data on this, but many people tuned out after the months long barrage of nasty attacks. It turns out they don’t want to watch a negative commercial nine times during Grey’s Anatomy. It gets annoying and arouses suspicion, and it can even make people root for the underdog.  After all, polluting industries blasted the airwaves with one campaign ad after the other in and yet almost all of their candidates lost.

6. Voters Wants Leaders with the Courage of their Convictions

The 2012 cycle took us into unchartered territory. We had a volatile and protracted GOP nomination process. We had enormous, unprecedented and unrestrained amounts of money poured into the campaign process. And we had an economy still struggling to recover from the worst recession in decades. In the midst of all this uncertainty, voters favored candidates who demonstrated integrity and spoke more about problem-solving than dogma. 

Take Senator Jon Tester of Montana. Tester had used his first term to carve out moderate, reasoned positions on a variety of issues, including clean energy and climate change. Yet corporate interests rallied around Tester’s opponent Denny Rehberg, and they saturated the airwaves with attack ads that painted Tester as an out-of-touch Washington insider.  The race got tight, but Tester never backed down from his record or stopped saying that clean energy and climate action was good for Montana. He also didn’t stop being the rancher they had come to know or the straight-talking elected official who fought for them in the nation’s Capitol. In the end, the red state of Montana went for Romney and reelected Jon Tester. Voters may not agree with every one of Tester’s positions, but they chose to be represented by a man who entered the Senate to solve problems, not to dismantle government.

As we head into the new Congress, lawmakers should remember that most Americans are more interested in pragmatic solutions than ideological battles. And when it comes to economic, health, national security, and environmental challenges, clean energy is one of the most powerful solutions we have.

 

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Post-Election Press Conference Remarks

Remarks by Heather Taylor-Miesle, Director

NRDC Action Fund

 November 7, 2012

Polluters spent hundreds of millions of dollars and have nothing to show for it today.  New polling by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research very clearly shows that voters didn’t buy what the polluters were selling. The public stands with us on clean energy. This election and our polling indicate a mandate from the American people on the environment and health. Now is time to act.

The new poll by the Greenberg Quinlan Rosner  Research was conducted nationally November 4th-6th and surveyed 1002 voters in 11 battleground states for NRDC Action Fund, League of Conservation Voters, and Sierra Club. Among the topline findings of the poll are:

President Obama Swept States Where the Fossil Fuel industry and their Congressional allies attacked on Energy.  They spent millions of dollars attacking the President on EPA and as being anti-coal. The attacks did not work–across all of the battleground states.

In fact, of the six reasons to vote against the President, issues like healthcare, taxes, the economy, and the deficit, the Republican message on energy fell far down the list to fifth and was cited by just 14 percent of voters as one of the best reason to vote against the President. This message ranked last among people who voted for Romney and last in the Midwest—where Republicans heavily focused this fossil fuels attacks.

President Obama and Democrats retain more credibility on energy than Republicans. Voters believe Obama will do a better job on energy than Romney by a 7 point margin, 51-44 percent. And they think Democrats will do a better job on this issue than Republicans by a 50 – 43 percent margin. These advantages are significant and represent larger advantages for Obama and Democrats than they receive on either the economy or taxes.

Regardless of partisanship lines or demographics, nearly 2 in 3 voters, 64 percent, say they have a favorable impression of renewable energy, compared to only 13 percent who say they have an unfavorable impression.

Voters give the EPA an impressive 50 – 27 percent favorable/unfavorable rating, including a 44 – 30 percent rating with Independents. Furthermore, by a 57 – 34 percent margin, they support EPA’s mission of making common sense rules over an argument that says rules and regulations should be left to congress.

A memo highlighting other important datapoints by Greenberg Quinlin Rosner Research is available at